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Original Issue

Olympic Medal Forecast

With one exception, speed skating figures to be dominated by athletes from traditional strongholds: the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, the U.S.S.R. and East Germany. The exception is Akira Kuroiwa, 22, who should take home Japan's first Olympic speed skating medal. A native of Tsumagoi, a village 90 miles north of Tokyo, Kuroiwa began racing at 12; a daily five-mile bike ride to school over steep mountain roads helped give him the powerful legs of a speed skater.


500 Meters

Akira Kuroiwa Japan
Pavel Pegov U.S.S.R.
Vladimir Kozlov U.S.S.R.
Dark Horse: Nick Thometz U.S.A.

1,000 Meters

Sergei Khlebnikov U.S.S.R.
Hilbert van der Duim The Netherlands
Pavel Pegov U.S.S.R.
Dark Horse: Erik Henriksen U.S.A.

1,500 Meters

Rolf Falk-Larsen Norway
Hilbert van der Duim The Netherlands
Aleksandr Baranov U.S.S.R.
Dark Horse: Dimitri Botsjkarjov U.S.S.R.

5,000 Meters

Rolf Falk-Larsen Norway
Dimitri Botsjkarjov U.S.S.R.
Tomas Gustafson Sweden
Dark Horse: Geir Karlstad Norway

10,000 Meters

Tomas Gustafson Sweden
Geir Karlstad Norway
Hilbert van der Duim The Netherlands
Dark Horse: Sergei Berezin U.S.S.R.


500 Meters

Karin Enke E. Ger.
Natalya Petruseva U.S.S.R.
Christa Rothenburger E. Ger.
Dark Horse: Natalya Shive U.S.S.R.

1,000 Meters

Karin Enke E. Ger.
Natalya Petruseva U.S.S.R.
Andrea Schöne E. Ger.
Dark Horse: Natalya Kurova U.S.S.R.

1,500 Meters

Karin Enke E. Ger.
Andrea Schöne E. Ger.
Natalya Petruseva U.S.S.R.
Dark Horse: Valentina Lalenkova U.S.S.R.

3,000 Meters

Karin Enke E. Ger.
Gabi Schönbrunn E. Ger.
Olga Pleshkova U.S.S.R.
Dark Horse: Mary Docter U.S.A.

Some golden oldies are back: This will be the fourth Olympics for Finland's Juha Mieto, 34, a cross-country gold medalist in 1976; and the third Games for the U.S.S.R. 's reticent Raisa Smetanina, 31, who copped cross-country gold in 76 and '80. A comparative youngster at 25, biathlete Frank Ullrich of East Germany is also back for a third time; he won gold in 1980 and is now favored in the 20 km. He started competing at 11 and won a world title at 20.


70 Meters

Matti Nykänen Finland
Jari Puikkonen Finland
Horst Bulau Canada
Dark Horse: Richard Schallert Austria

90 Meters

Klaus Ostwald E. Ger.
Primoz Ulaga Yugoslavia
Jens Weissflog E. Ger.
Dark Horse: Pavel Ploc Czechoslovakia


Tom Sandberg Norway
Uwe Dotzauer E. Ger.
Kerry Lynch U.S.A.
Dark Horse: Thomas Müller W. Ger.


10 Kilometers

Eirik Kvalfoss Norway
Peter Angerer W. Ger.
Algimantas Shalna U.S.S.R.
Dark Horse: Frank-Peter Roetsch E. Ger.

20 Kilometers

Frank Ullrich E. Ger.
Frank-Peter Roetsch E. Ger.
Odd Lirhus Norway
Dark Horse: Fritz Fischer W. Ger.

4 √ó 7.5-km Relay

E. Ger.
W. Ger.
Dark Horse: Norway



15 Kilometers

Gunde Svan Sweden
Aleksandr Zavyalov U.S.S.R.
Bill Koch U.S.A.
Dark Horse: Pal Gunnar Mikkelsplass Norway

30 Kilometers

Juha Mieto Finland
Nikolai Zimyatov U.S.S.R.
Harri Kirvesniemi Finland
Dark Horse: Torgny Mogren Sweden

50 Kilometers

Thomas Wassberg Sweden
Asko Autio Finland
Yuri Burlakov U.S.S.R.
Dark Horse: Jan Lindvall Norway

4 √ó 10-km Relay

Dark Horse: Sweden


5 Kilometers

Kveta Jeriova Czechoslovakia
Lyubov Zimyatova U.S.S.R.
Brit Pettersen Norway
Dark Horse: Blanka Paulu Czechoslovakia

10 Kilometers

Raisa Smetanina U.S.S.R.
Marja-Liisa Hamalainen Finland
Lyubov Lyadova U.S.S.R.
Dark Horse: Brit Pettersen Norway

20 Kilometers

Berit Aunli Norway
Raisa Smetanina U.S.S.R.
Kveta Jeriova Czechoslovakia
Dark Horse: Marja-Liisa Hamalainen Finland

4 √ó 5-km Relay

Dark Horse: Czechoslovakia

The hottest thing on the refrigerated run is the new U.S.S.R. bob, a machine so slender it's called "the cigar." However, the cigar has proved so hard to handle that the Soviet practices have been marred by crashes. So, the choice for the two-man gold is East Germany's Bernhard Germeshausen and Hans-Jürgen Gerhardt. Germeshausen rode in the two-and four-man bobs that won in '76, and he added another gold in '80. The East German women lugers look like winners, too.


Germeshausen/Gerhardt E. Ger.
Kipurs/Shnepsts U.S.S.R.
Hoppe/Schauerhammer E. Ger.
Dark Horse: Hiltebrand/Manrad Switzerland


Switzerland I
E. Ger. I
Switzerland II
Dark Horse: U.S.S.R. I


Men's Singles

Paul Hildgartner Italy
Sergei Danilin U.S.S.R.
Michael Walter E. Ger.
Dark Horse: Torsten Görlitzer E. Ger.

Women's Singles

Bettina Schmidt E. Ger.
Steffi Martin E. Ger.
Ute Weiss E. Ger.
Dark Horse: Ingrida Amantova U.S.S.R.

Men's Doubles

Raffl/Huber Italy
Stanggassinger/Wembacher W. Ger.
Hoffmann/Pietzsch E. Ger.
Dark Horse: Belousov/Belyakov U.S.S.R.

According to U.S.S.R. coach Viktor Tikhonov, there will be no U.S. miracle in Sarajevo. "The Soviet team will win the gold," he says. "It's younger, faster and more ambitious than any Soviet team before." It also has such reliable veterans as defenseman Vyacheslav Fetisov, 25, an officer in the Soviet army. In '77 he was the youngest player ever to take part in the world championships, and in '78 and '82 he was named the best defenseman at the worlds.

Dark Horse: West Germany

There seems little doubt that Scott Hamilton of the U.S. and ice dancers Jayne Torvill and Christopher Dean of Great Britain are golden, but the women's title is up for grabs. Katarina Witt of East Germany, who won the recent European championships, is, said one critic, "pure joy to watch," but America's Rosalynn Sumners or Elaine Zayak could win—if they can stay on their skates. The Leningrad duo of Yelena Valova and Oleg Vasiliev look like a winning pair.


Scott Hamilton U.S.A.
Aleksandr Fadeyev U.S.S.R.
Brian Orser Canada
Dark Horse: Norbert Schramm W. Ger.


Katarina Witt E. Ger.
Rosalynn Sumners U.S.A.
Claudia Leistner W. Ger.
Dark Horse: Elaine Zayak U.S.A.


Valova/Vasiliev U.S.S.R.
Baess/Thierbach E. Ger.
Underhill/Martini Canada
Dark Horse: Lorenz/Schubert E. Ger.


Torvill/Dean Great Britain
Bestemyanova/Bukin U.S.S.R.
Blumberg/Seibert U.S.A.
Dark Horse: Klimova/Ponomarenko U.S.S.R.

The old daredevil is back at the top. Franz Klammer, 30, is again skiing wild, as he did in 1976, when he thrilled the world with his gold-medal downhill run. In '80 Klammer failed to make the Austrian Olympic team and suffered a serious knee injury, but he has bounced back from both disasters. Another mended skier is Switzerland's Erika Hess, 21, who had a knee operation at the end of '82 and then, three weeks later, placed second in a World Cup slalom.



Franz Klammer Austria
Erwin Resch Austria
Peter Müller Switzerland Dark Horse: Bill Johnson U.S.A.

Giant Slalom

Pirmin Zurbriggen Switzerland
Hans Enn Austria
Max Julen Switzerland
Dark Horse: Jure Franko Yugoslavia


Phil Mahre U.S.A.
Bojan Križaj Yugoslavia
Franz Gruber Austria
Dark Horse: Stig Strand Sweden



Maria Walliser Switzerland
Irene Epple W. Ger.
Michela Figini Switzerland
Dark Horse: Laurie Graham Canada

Giant Slalom

Tamara McKinney U.S.A.
Maria Epple W. Ger.
Erika Hess Switzerland
Dark Horse: Olga Charvatova Czechoslovakia


Erika Hess Switzerland
Christin Cooper U.S.A.
Anni Kronbichler Austria
Dark Horse: Dorota Tlalka Poland


Kuroiwa, who has lost only one of 15 500-meter races the last two seasons, says, "I feel no pressure because nobody told me to win the gold medal."


Says East Germany's Ullrich of the biathlon: "Its attraction lies in the extremes. Skiing and shooting are like fire and water."


"You need the magic touch," says Germeshausen. The head-down Gerhardt hopes his driver has just that.


Fetisov, here checking a West German, has played hockey for 17 of his 25 years.


Valova and Vasiliev, together only three years, should perpetuate the Soviets' gold-medal tradition in the pairs, which started in '64.


A triple gold medalist in the 1982 worlds, Hess seems destined for gold, but she says, "I'm a realist. Nothing is ever won in advance."