SI.com's NFL guru reveals which teams he thinks are headed for trouble
1 Bills Buffalo kept a low profile in free agency (LB Andra Davis, DT Dwan Edwards) and made something of a luxury-item pick in the first round, drafting RB C.J. Spiller(below). Receiving considerably less attention, however, were the fairly vital positions of quarterback and offensive tackle. It looks like more of the same for the Bills, who have been running in place for so long now that it's hard to detect any motion at all.
2 Bears Here's what embattled coach Lovie Smith is up against: Win enough to shoo the wolves away from the door, or close out his Windy City tenure with a fourth consecutive nonplayoff season. Chicago dominated early in free agency, signing DE Julius Peppers and RB Chester Taylor. But there's not a long track record of pacesetting in free agency leading to on-field success in the same year.
3 Jaguars Jacksonville will enter this season with less than brimming confidence in quarterback David Garrard. Plus it's hard to see where real improvement is supposed to come from given that the Jags still don't have enough receivers to make trouble for AFC defenses.
DAVID BERGMAN (SPILLER)