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Leap Year

Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens look poised for a big jump in the Hall of Fame voting
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THERE WILL NEVER be another baseball Hall of Fame class to match the prestige of the inaugural group of 1936, in which Ty Cobb, Walter Johnson, Christy Mathewson, Babe Ruth and Honus Wagner were enshrined in Cooperstown. But, eight decades later, we may finally see one that matches it in sheer size. This year's results will be announced on Jan. 18, and 2017 could join 1936 as the only classes with five players voted in by the BBWAA.

According to the Baseball Hall of Fame Vote Tracker, which is compiled by dietician and A's fan Ryan Thibodaux and keeps track of all ballots made public, three players (Jeff Bagwell, Tim Raines and Ivan Rodriguez) are polling well north of the 75% required for election, while two others—Vladimir Guerrero, at 74.6%, and Trevor Hoffman, at 73.5%—are right on the cusp.

Meanwhile, Nathaniel Rakich at The Hardball Times uses a projection system that takes into account both the publicly released ballots and the estimated vote percentage of private ballots based on past results. By that method, all five aforementioned players are predicted to get in.

The most interesting names to watch, however, belong to two players who are not expected to gain entry—yet: Roger Clemens and Barry Bonds. The recent election of former commissioner Bud Selig, who presided over the Steroid Era, has caused some voters to state publicly that they will now vote for Bonds, the career home runs leader, and Clemens, a seven-time Cy Young Award winner, despite their alleged connections to PEDs. Below is how Bonds and Clemens have progressed since joining the ballot in 2013, along with how they are forecast to do this year by The Hardball Times. Keep in mind that only two players who ever topped 50% have failed to gain eventual induction.

GO FIGURE

2

Holes-in-one in one round for Geoffrey Simeona, 52, at Murray (Utah) Parkway Golf Course on Dec. 4. Simeona aced the 150-yard 7th hole and the 139-yard 14th.

105

Age of cyclist Robert Marchand of Paris who set a world record in the 105-and-over group, created just for him, by riding 14 miles in one hour on Jan. 4. He set the 100-and-over mark three years ago by riding 16.7 miles in an hour.

15

Age of Fran Belibi, a sophomore forward at Regis Jesuit High in Aurora, Colo., who last Friday became the first girl in state history to dunk in a game. Belibi, a 6'1" forward, threw down for two of her game-high 21 points during a 78--23 win over Grand Junction.

BARRY BONDS

[The following text appears within a chart. Please see hardcopy or PDF for actual chart.]

36.2%

2013

34.7%

2014

36.8%

2015

44.3%

2016

58.0%*

2017

*Projected vote total, through Jan. 9

ROGER CLEMENS

37.6%

2013

35.4%

2014

37.5%

2015

45.2%

2016

59.0%*

2017

*Projected vote total, through Jan. 9