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10 Reds

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IN LIMBO

SCOUT'S TAKE

KEY QUESTION

This isn't a bad club, but it's a weird one. Can Yasiel Puig, Matt Kemp and Sonny Gray get a jolt from a change of scenery? Gray just didn't like the big market. I wouldn't be surprised if he has a career year now that he's away from New York City.

OVERRATED

He'll hammer mistakes but good pitching will get Puig out. The Dodgers did a good job utilizing the data and he benefited from that. He sells out for power and takes games off. That's not a good influence on a young team.

ON THE CUSP

He's the closer but the Josh Hader--style role fits Raisel Iglesias really well; a guy who can put the fire out when needed. He's versatile, changes arm slots and has a power fastball-slider mix. He has great instincts and feel out there.

LAST LICKS

This is a really tough division and they're going to take their lumps. But they've got a nice group of prospects. You can start with Hunter Greene—he is an impact starter.... They continue player development at the big league level. I'm convinced David Bell is a perfect fit for that. People speak unbelievably highly of him.

THE PAYOFF PITCH

CINCINNATI made some splashy additions to its roster this offseason. As important as Yasiel Puig, Alex Wood, Sonny Gray and the rest of the new players will be to that effort, the most important addition may never swing a bat or throw a pitch. The Reds lured Derek Johnson from Milwaukee, where as pitching coach the last three years he helped drop the team's ERA from 4.28 to 3.73. Johnson brought along Chase Anderson, Jimmy Nelson and Brent Suter as starters for the Brewers; Cincinnati is particularly hopeful that Johnson, who was Gray's pitching coach at Vanderbilt, can save the struggling righthander's career. The 47-year-old Johnson's success running a Milwaukee bullpen that ranked second in the NL last year could carry over as well: The Reds have the raw material (Raisel Iglesias, Amir Garrett, Jared Hughes) to achieve comparable success.

OVER UNDER

79.5

After four-straight 90-loss seasons, the Reds finally got ambitious this offseason. They can hit with the best of them. Keeping runs off the board will be a bigger challenge.

LINEUP

LF Jesse Winker

.299/7 HR/43 RBI

1B Joey Votto

.284/12 HR/.417 OBP

3B Eugenio Suárez

.283/34 HR/104 RBI

2B Scooter Gennett

.310/23 HR/92 RBI

RF Yasiel Puig

.267/23 HR/ 63 RBI

CF Scott Schebler

.255/17 HR/.337 OBP

SS José Peraza

.288/14 HR/23 SB

C Tucker Barnhart

.248/10 HR/.372 SLG

BENCH

OF Matt Kemp

.290/21 HR/.481 SLG

IF/OF Derek Dietrich

.265/16 HR/.421 SLG

FANTASY BREAKOUT

If LUIS CASTILLO, 26, continues his post-- All-Star Game roll (2.44 ERA, 0.97 WHIP), he has the potential to be a top 10 starter.

ROTATION

RH Luis Castillo

10 W/4.30 ERA/8.8 K9

LH Alex Wood

9 W/3.68 ERA/8.0 K9

RH Tanner Roark

9 W/4.34 ERA/1.28 WHP

RH Sonny Gray

11 W/4.90 ERA/1.50 WHP

BULLPEN

CL Raisel Iglesias

30 SV/2.38 ERA/10.0 K9

RH Jared Hughes

1.94 ERA/1.02 WHP/6.8 K9

RH Amir Garrett

4.29 ERA/1.29 WHP/10.1 K9

MANAGER

David Bell